What if I told you waiting 90 extra days to breed your heifers could save 40% on breeding costs and add $1,300 in profit per head?

You know how we’ve all been taught to push for efficiency at every turn—get those heifers bred young, calve them at 22-24 months, then breed them back fast. But here’s what’s interesting: if you’re rushing your first-lactation heifers to get pregnant again at day 50, you might be leaving money—and fertility—on the table.
Some groundbreaking research from Sweden, published in the Journal of Dairy Science in 2023, has been gaining real traction across the industry over the past 18 months. And honestly? The more I dig into it, the more it makes sense. We’re seeing similar interest from producers in California, the Northeast, and even some of the larger operations down in Texas.

Anna Edvardsson Rasmussen and her team at the Swedish University of Agricultural Sciences tracked over 500 first-lactation heifers across multiple high-yielding commercial herds. What they found… well, it challenges everything we’ve been doing. When they extended the voluntary waiting period from the conventional 50-60 days out to 140-145 days, first-service pregnancy rates jumped from 51% to 67%. That’s a huge improvement, folks. And here’s the kicker—they didn’t use expensive interventions or genetic selection. They just waited for the right biological moment to breed.

The Biology Behind the Numbers
So here’s what’s actually happening inside these first-lactation heifers—and I’ll be honest, it’s not quite what many of us have assumed.
At day 50 post-calving, a healthy first-lactation heifer isn’t in metabolic crisis anymore. Research from folks like Butler at Cornell and Wathes’s group shows that NEFA levels—those non-esterified fatty acids we worry about—typically normalize to under 0.4 millimolar by days 21-30 in well-managed herds. But—and this is crucial—she’s still partitioning energy between three competing demands: milk production, continued growth (remember, she’s only 24-26 months old), and trying to restore reproductive function.
What I find fascinating is the IGF-1 story. The work by Lucy and others shows that IGF-1 levels, which are critical for follicular development and egg quality, are still recovering at day 50 in these young cows. They’re not back to where they need to be. The issue isn’t that she’s swimming in metabolic toxins. It’s that she’s metabolically stretched thin, trying to do too many things at once.
By day 140? Completely different story. Her growth requirements have stabilized, she’s adapted to lactation demands, and her energy balance has shifted to a strongly positive state. The follicles developing at this point are coming from a much more favorable metabolic environment.

What Recovery Actually Looks Like in First-Lactation Heifers
Let me walk you through what’s happening at different timepoints:
Day 50—Energy Neutral but Depleted:
- NEFA levels are normal (under that 0.4 millimolar threshold that Ospina’s group established)
- IGF-1 is still recovering, though
- She’s still partitioning energy to growth
- Follicular competence is improving, but not quite there yet
Day 90—Building Reserves:
- Energy balance shifting positive
- IGF-1 is approaching where we want it
- Growth demands starting to stabilize (especially if she calved at a good size)
- Follicular quality is getting better
Day 140—Metabolically Ready:
- Strong positive energy balance
- IGF-1 levels are optimal
- Growth demands minimal
- Follicular quality excellent
The Swedish researchers documented that this metabolic maturation in first-lactation animals directly translates into reproductive success. These younger cows bred at day 140 needed fewer inseminations per pregnancy and had compressed breeding windows.
Why First-Lactation Heifers Are Actually Ideal Candidates
Now, this might surprise some of you who’ve been told to focus extended lactation strategies on older cows, but here’s the thing about first-lactation heifers that makes them perfect for extended VWP:
They have incredibly persistent lactation curves. The work by Stanton and later by Tekerli really nailed this down—primiparous cows maintain 90-95% production persistency through late lactation, while your older multiparous cows drop to 80-85%. Think about it—a third or fourth-lactation cow might drop from 45 kg to 25 kg between day 60 and day 305, but a first-lactation heifer? She might only drop from 32 kg to 28-29 kg. VanRaden’s work back in ’98 documented this beautifully.

This persistency means that extending their lactation by 60 days doesn’t result in a bunch of low-producing days at the tail end. They keep milking profitably right through day 305 and beyond.

Real-World Implementation: What We’re Seeing Across Different Regions
Based on what I’m hearing from producers in Wisconsin and Minnesota, and increasingly from operations in Pennsylvania and Vermont that’ve started implementing this with their first-lactation groups, the results are pretty consistent—and encouraging.
“We were skeptical at first” is what I hear over and over, whether it’s from a 150-cow tie-stall in Wisconsin or a 3,000-cow operation in California. Most of these farms see their first-calf heifers averaging around 45-50% first-service conception rates with traditional 50-60 day VWP. But when they try extending VWP to 120 days on a test pen—usually 30-50 head—things get interesting.
Most are using activity monitoring systems to catch heats, which becomes even more critical with heifers since their heat expression can be more subtle than that of mature cows. And what they’re seeing? First-service pregnancy rates are jumping to 60-65%. Not quite the 67% the Swedish study achieved, but pretty darn close.
A reproductive specialist I work with in New York mentioned something interesting: “We’re also seeing adoption of this approach in the Netherlands and parts of Germany. It’s not just a Swedish phenomenon—it seems to work across different management systems.”
And here’s what really catches their attention—and mine too: these heifers maintain their body condition so much better through peak lactation. I was talking with a nutritionist from central Wisconsin last month who told me, “The heifers on extended VWP maintain about a quarter to half a point higher body condition score at breeding compared to those bred at day 50. That’s huge for long-term productivity.”
When Extended VWP Might Not Be the Answer
Now, I should mention—because balance matters—there are situations where extended VWP for first-lactation heifers might not be your best move. If you’re dealing with severe overcrowding, high disease pressure in early lactation, or you’re in an expansion phase where you need maximum calf numbers, the traditional approach might still make sense.
And honestly, if your current first-service pregnancy rates are already above 60% at day 50-60, the economic advantage of waiting might not be as compelling. As always, it’s worth sitting down with your nutritionist and veterinarian before making major management changes.
The Economics: Different Math for First-Lactation Animals
Let’s talk money, because that’s what matters at the end of the day. The economic equation for extending VWP in first-lactation heifers looks different from than for older cows, but it’s equally compelling—maybe more so.

First, there’s that lactation persistency advantage we talked about. With first-lactation animals maintaining 90-95% of their peak production through late lactation, those extra 60 days of milking generate nearly full-value milk. At current prices—we’re seeing $17-20/cwt depending on your region—that adds up fast.

But here’s what really makes the economics work: the pressure on replacement heifer inventory. When your first-lactation animals calve at 24 months and then don’t need to be rebred until day 140, you’re effectively reducing the pressure on your replacement pipeline. And with the cost of raising a replacement heifer to first calving now running $2,100-2,500 according to most extension economists, each first-lactation heifer that successfully breeds at day 140 instead of struggling through multiple services starting at day 50 is one less potential early cull.
The First-Lactation Economics:
| What You’re Looking At | Impact | Value |
| Additional milk revenue (60 days × high persistency) | More income | +$750-850 |
| Reduced breeding costs (fewer services) | Less expense | +$20-30 |
| Lower early lactation cull risk | Fewer replacements needed | +$200-400 |
| Better body condition through lactation | Health benefits | +$50-100 |
| Net gain per first-lactation | Bottom line | +$1,020-1,380 |
Traditional vs. Extended VWP: How They Stack Up
Let me break down how these two approaches compare for first-lactation heifers:
| Management Factor | Traditional (50-60 day VWP) | Extended (140 day VWP) |
| First-service pregnancy rate | 45-51% | 60-67% |
| Services per pregnancy | 2.2-2.5 | 1.5-1.8 |
| Days open | 110-130 | 150-170 |
| Calving interval | 13 months | 14.5 months |
| Body condition at breeding | Often <2.75 | Usually >3.0 |
| Milk persistency utilized | 75-80% | 90-95% |
| Cull rate in first lactation | 15-20% | 10-15% (early adopter reports) |
The Technology Question Still Matters
The Swedish study’s success with first-lactation animals depended heavily on good heat detection. And if anything, this becomes even more critical with heifers.
The research from Nebel and Jobst back in the late ’90s—still holds true today—shows that first-lactation animals can have more subtle heat expression than mature cows, especially in late lactation. Visual detection accuracy in first-lactation animals at day 140? You might only catch 35-45% of heats. Meanwhile, those automated systems maintain detection rates of 80-85% regardless of parity.

For farms without automated systems, you’ve still got options:
Moderate extension: Push VWP to 80-100 days instead of 140. You’ll capture a good portion of the benefit while the heats are still more detectable.
Timed AI protocols: Programs like Double-Ovsynch work particularly well in primiparous cows. Souza’s group reported conception rates of 40-45% with timed AI in first-lactation cows, which isn’t bad at all.
Common Concerns and What I Tell Folks
I hear several consistent concerns when discussing this with producers:
“Won’t my heifers get fat?” Not if you’re managing them properly. The Swedish data and what we’re seeing in the field shows that heifers on extended VWP maintain ideal body condition—right around 3.0-3.25—rather than becoming overconditioned. Remember, they’re still growing and producing at high persistency.

“What about my facilities?” This is legitimate. If you’re running all-in-all-out heifer groups, extended VWP might complicate pen movements. But farms with rolling heifer groups or mixed parity strings? They’re finding it works just fine.
“Is this just for big herds?” Actually, no. Some of the best results I’m seeing are from 100-200 cow herds where individual animal management is easier. You don’t need 1,000 cows to make this work.
And regional differences matter too. In the Upper Midwest, where I am, we see seasonal heat stress. Breeding heifers at day 140 might help avoid the worst of the July-August heat for spring-calving animals. In the Southwest, with consistent climate control? The timing advantage is less pronounced, but those metabolic benefits remain. Even in grazing operations in the Northeast, where matching breeding to pasture quality matters, this approach is showing promise.
Making the Decision for Your Heifers
Looking at where the industry’s heading, here’s what I think you should consider for your first-lactation animals:
Start with a test group. Pick 30-40 of your first-lactation heifers entering the milking string and extend their VWP to 100-120 days. Track everything—conception rates, milk production, body condition.
Focus on heat detection. Whether it’s activity monitors, tail paint, or visual observation, you need reliable heat detection at day 100+. This is non-negotiable.
Monitor body condition closely. One of the biggest advantages of extended VWP in heifers is maintaining body condition. Use a consistent scoring system and track monthly.
Consider your facilities. First-lactation animals in mixed-parity groups might require different management than those in dedicated heifer pens. Plan accordingly.
Track the economics carefully. The math varies by farm based on milk prices, replacement costs, and cull rates. Use your own numbers.
Consult your team. Before making any major changes, sit down with your nutritionist and veterinarian. They know your specific situation and can help tailor the approach.
The Bottom Line
The Swedish research from 2023 doesn’t suggest every farm should immediately extend VWP to 140 days for all animals. But it makes a compelling case that first-lactation heifers—with their persistent lactation curves and continued growth needs—might benefit more from patience than we’ve traditionally given them.
What the Swedish team found, and what we’re seeing validated in herds across North America and Europe, is that waiting allows these young animals to transition from the metabolic demands of early lactation to a state where successful pregnancy is more likely. For first-lactation heifers, that sweet spot appears to be around day 140, not day 50.
The approach is still being validated across different systems—each farm is unique—but the biological principles are sound, and the early results are encouraging. The question isn’t whether the biology works—the data on over 500 primiparous cows makes that clear. The question is whether your operation has the management capability and infrastructure to capture these benefits.
Like any management strategy, success depends on execution. But for farms struggling with first-lactation fertility—and let’s be honest, that’s a lot of us—this research offers a path forward that doesn’t require new genetics, expensive supplements, or complex protocols.
Sometimes, the best strategy is simply patience. And for those young cows just starting their productive lives, a little extra time might make all the difference between a profitable lactation and an early exit from the herd. It’s worth thinking about, isn’t it?
Key Takeaways:
- First-lactation heifers bred at day 140 achieve 67% conception rates vs. 51% at day 50—their growing bodies need the extra recovery time
- Extended VWP adds $1,020-1,380 profit per heifer through better fertility, reduced breeding costs, and 90-95% milk persistency that older cows can’t match
- Heat detection is make-or-break: Visual observation catches only 35-45% of heats at day 140—invest in activity monitors or use timed AI protocols
- Test before transforming: Start with 30-40 heifers extended to 100-120 days, track conception rates and body condition, then expand if successful
- This isn’t for everyone: You need solid transition cow management, good facilities, and patience—but for farms with 45-50% heifer conception rates, it’s game-changing
Executive Summary:
Swedish research on 500+ first-lactation heifers has documented what progressive farmers are now proving in the field: waiting until day 140 instead of day 50 to breed young cows improves conception rates from 51% to 67%. The biology is compelling—heifers need those extra 90 days for IGF-1 recovery and energy balance while they’re still growing. Unlike older cows, heifers maintain 90-95% milk production through extended lactation, making those extra days profitable rather than problematic. Early adopters in Wisconsin and Minnesota report similar success with 60-65% conception rates and better body condition scores at breeding. The economics are substantial—$1,020-1,380 additional profit per head from improved fertility, reduced breeding costs, and lower culling. The catch? You need reliable heat detection at day 140, which means activity monitors or intensive observation. For farms struggling with heifer fertility, this research offers a counterintuitive solution: sometimes the fastest way forward is to slow down.
Complete references and supporting documentation are available upon request by contacting the editorial team at editor@thebullvine.com.
Learn More:
- The $4000 Heifer: Navigating America’s Worst Replacement Crisis in 47 Years – Provides the critical economic context for the 140-day strategy, detailing why spiraling replacement costs make extending the productive life of first-lactation animals a financial necessity for modern herds.
- The Hidden Cost of Lameness: Is AI Exposing Dairy’s Biggest Profit Thief? – Explains how to leverage the same AI monitoring technology required for day-140 heat detection to simultaneously slash lameness costs and improve overall herd longevity.
- Genetic Revolution: How Record-Breaking Milk Components Are Reshaping Dairy’s Future – Demonstrates how to align your genetic selection with extended lactations, ensuring your heifers maintain the high component levels needed to keep late-lactation milk checks profitable.
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