What Did the Dealer Quote You?
Five inputs. Sixty seconds. Math the dealer hopes you never run.
Robots needed: 4
WI dairy wage: $20.20/hr | WI milk price: $20.60/cwt
What's on the quote? (per unit)
Current CME Class III: ~$17.00/cwt
Current ag rates: 5.95%–7.78%
The Reality Check
The Dealer's Number
4 × $190,000
$760,000
The Real Number
$760,000 × 1.4
$1,064,000
The 1.4× covers barn mods, installation, commissioning, and everything NOT on the quote.
Your Breakeven
—
Milk Price Stress Test — What if prices move $2/cwt?
$18.60/cwt
—
$20.60/cwt (yours)
—
$22.60/cwt
—
Manufacturer's Assumptions vs. Your Reality
Dealer's Pro Forma
Your Reality
| Line Item | Dealer's Pro Forma |
|---|---|
| Installed Cost | — |
| Production Gain | 12% |
| Maintenance/Robot | $6,000/yr |
| Downtime | 2% |
| Milk Price | $22.00/cwt |
| Interest Rate | 5.0% |
| Breakeven | — |
The gap between these two columns is the gap between the kitchen-table pitch and your milk check.
THE $0 QUESTION
4 ROBOTS
Capital Cost—
Annual Maint.—
Eliminates—
5-Yr Total Cost—
5-Yr Net—
5-Yr ROI—
SENSOR SUITE
Capital Cost—
Annual Maint.—
Saves~0.3 FTE
5-Yr Total Cost—
5-Yr Net—
5-Yr ROI—
For $0, you get 80% of the data intelligence and 0% of the debt.
Your State's Outlook
Labor Availability Score
AvailableCrisis
7 / 9
MARGINAL
Take This to the Dealer
