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USDA: U.S. Milk Output Up 2.5% in August


Nationally, August 2014 milk production was estimated at 17.217 billion lbs., up 2.5% from August 2013, according to USDA’s monthly report. The increase over year-earlier levels is lower than many expected.

U.S. milk cow numbers were estimated at 9.276 million head, 1,000 head less than July 2014, but 47,000 more than August 2013. Production per cow averaged 1,856 lbs. for August, up 37 lbs. from the same month a year earlier.

Dave Kurzawski, FCStone, characterized the report as bullish compared to market expectations. Eric Meyer, HighGround Dairy, said the report was neutral. Meyer noted August 2013 provided extremely mild weather, which brought exceptional milk production for the month a year ago. August 2014 brought more normal summer heat to much of the country, resulting in more moderate milk production gains.

August milk production in the 23 major states totaled 16.177 billion lbs., up 2.6% from August 2013.

August 2014 milk cow numbers in the major states was 8.582 million head, down 1,000 from July 2014, but 60,000 head more than August 2013. Production per cow in those states averaged 1,985 lbs. for August, 35 lbs. more August 2013, and the highest production per cow for August since USDA’s 23-state series began in 2003.

July revised production, at 16.388 billion lbs., was up 4.0% from July 2013. The July revision represented a decrease of 1 million lbs. (0.1%) from last month’s preliminary production estimate.

Eleven states reported increases in cow numbers compared to a year ago, with largest year-to-year increases in Texas (+30,000); Michigan (+13,000); Colorado (+8,000); Kansas (+7,000) and Idaho (+6,000). Nine states posted declines in cow numbers, led by Ohio and Minnesota (-5,000) and Pennsylvania (-3,000). Cow numbers in Florida, Iowa and Oregon were unchanged.

Florida, Vermont, Virginia and New Mexico led all states in milk production per cow compared to the same month earlier.

 

Milk production, U.S. and major dairy states, August 2013-2014
Milk cows Milk per cow Total milk  production
(1,000 head) (Lbs./month) (Million lbs.) (Million lbs.) Change
Aug. 2013 Aug. 2014 Aug. 2013 Aug. 2014 Aug. 2013 Aug. 2014 2013-2014
Arizona 188 193 1,830 1,860 344 359 4.4
California 1,780 1,778 1,910 1,940 3,400 3,449 1.4
Colorado 137 145 2,095 2,135 287 310 8.0
Florida 123 123 1,450 1,570 178 193 8.4
Idaho 573 579 2,060 2,100 1,180 1,216 3.1
Illinois 97 95 1,550 1,580 150 150           n.c.
Indiana 177 179 1,810 1,875 320 336 5.0
Iowa 208 208 1,850 1,860 385 387 0.5
Kansas 135 142 1,790 1,805 242 256 5.8
Michigan 381 394 2,050 2,115 781 833 6.7
Minnesota 465 460 1,635 1,660 760 764 0.5
New Mexico 324 323 2,015 2,100 653 678 3.8
New York 610 615 1,885 1,920 1,150 1,181 2.7
Ohio 271 266 1,680 1,735 455 462 1.5
Oregon 123 123 1,750 1,740 215 214 -0.5
Pennsylvania 533 530 1,660 1,680 885 890 0.6
South Dakota 95 97 1,835 1,855 174 180 3.4
Texas 440 470 1,795 1,785 790 839 6.2
Utah 92 95 1,915 1,925 176 183 4.0
Vermont 135 132 1,630 1,725 220 228 3.6
Virginia 95 93 1,490 1,580 142 147 3.5
Washington 268 272 2,040 2,060 547 560 2.4
Wisconsin 1,272 1,270 1,835 1,860 2,334 2,362 1.2
23-State 8,522 8,582 1,850 1,885 15,768 16,177 2.6
U.S. 9,229 9,276 1,819 1,856 16,789 17,217 2.5
1/ Includes dry cows. Excludes heifers not yet fresh.
Source: USDA

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