meta A False Hope that China Was Returning to Dairy Markets :: The Bullvine - The Dairy Information You Want To Know When You Need It

A False Hope that China Was Returning to Dairy Markets

A mixed day in the dairy markets on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange on Monday. Cheddar barrels slipped a penny, blocks lost 1.25 cents and nonfat dry milk gained three-quarter cent.  Class III futures were a little higher on the last trading day of November.

For the month: cash cheese barrels lost 5.5 cents, blocks fell 5.25 cents, butter gained 13 cents per pound and nonfat dry milk lost 6.75 cents. Class III futures for November slipped 3 cents, December lost 73 cents, January is 99 cents lower.

 

The October all milk price was $17.70 per hundredweight up 20 cents from September. Prices ranged from $21.50 in Florida (-70 cents) to $16.13 in California (+41 cents).  The milk-to-feed ratio for October is 2.29 compared to 2.25 in September and 2.92 a year ago.

Milk cow prices declined from July. The average dairy cow sold for $1,980 at the end of October compared to $2,030 in July and $2,120 in October of 2014.  Cow prices ranged from $1,800 in Ohio to $2,100 in Arizona, California and Michigan.  Wisconsin dairy cow prices averaged $2,050 in October compared to $2,090 in July and $2,220 a year ago.

 

World hopes that China is going to start importing more dairy products have been dashed by the USDA’s October report.  The collapse of global dairy prices was triggered when China pulled-back on purchases nearly two years ago.   

The USDA numbers for September showed year-over-year increases in Chinese purchases of skim milk powder and whole milk powder prompting hope Beijing was returning to the global market.  Traditionally Chinese purchases increase from September to October.   

But that is not the case this year; Chinese whole milk powder purchases in October totaled 11,500 metric tons down 16 percent from September and 25 percent below a year ago.

Skim milk powder purchases totaled 7,900 metric tons down 59 percent from September and down 50 percent compared to October of 2014.  This is the lowest October whole milk powder import number since 2011 and the lowest skim milk powder imports since 2012.

The U.S. share of the Chinese skim milk powder business plunged 65 percent from a year ago.

 On the positive side: Chinese whey product imports were up more than 10 percent from a year ago at 34,000 metric tons and the U.S. has more than half of that business.

Source: Brownfield Ag News

Send this to a friend